It’s Friday, rejoice.
Okay, on to the Friday mailbag.
Who wouldn’t watch these games to see what happened?
“Who takes the kids out trick-or-treating and who stays home to hand out candy? My money says you go with the kids in full costume.”
We have a Halloween party tonight at the house and then I have to wake up in the morning and go speak for an hour at Politicon in downtown Nashville tomorrow.
So this could be a total mess.
But generally speaking I get kid duty to walk around in the neighborhood.
I’m fine with that as long as it’s not cold, but it’s going to be cold and potentially rainy in Nashville on Halloween next week so I’m already dreading this.
I’m a total weather wuss so there’s no way I’m dressing up. I’ll be buried in way too many layers of clothes and hoping the kids get cold and want to come back home early.
It was like fifty degrees last night I was ready to cancel winter and go immediately back to summer.
I do, however, love Halloween.
I’m going as Jon Snow this year and my wife is going as murdered Daenerys after Jon Snow stabbed her.
“Do you agree or disagree with my Dolphins’ Tank for Tua approach?”
If Dolphin management truly believes that Tua is going to be a transcendent, elite level quarterback then I don’t just agree with the decision, I think it’s a great one.
Look, ever since Dan Marino left the Dolphins your franchise has been a quarterback desert.
If you find the right quarterback he can be great for the next 15 years or longer. One year of stinking to maximize your quarterback options is a small price to pay for the excellence to come.
If, and this is a big if, you draft the right quarterback and he turns out to be great.
Now what you have to be fearful of is this — it’s hard to get the quarterback position right, even if you’re drafting in the top five.
Look at this list of quarterbacks drafted in the top five since 2006.
But I’m going to be honest with you, right now I’m wondering if Joe Burrow shouldn’t be the overall number one pick over Tua and Justin Herbert and everyone else.
Burrow looks like a prototypical pocket passer in the NFL: big, strong, tough, mobile enough to extend drives and move well in the pocket. He also reads defenses like a savant.
As the season continues to play out, if you haven’t watched Burrow, you need to, he looks like he could be special for the rest of this year and for next year as well.
“Clay, my wife wants to reenact the whip cream scene from Varsity Blues but I have a dairy allergy, and she knows this but she’s being persistent about it. Is this her way of saying she wants a divorce?”
No, she just thinks you’re a pussy.
And so does everyone else reading this right now.
Is your dairy allergy really that bad? Are you really going to die from eating whip cream?
And if you die licking a whip cream bikini off your naked wife, is there a better way to go? I don’t think so.
Suck it up, buttercup.
“Is there a former left wing President (dead or alive not counting Obama) who could actually succeed in winning the Democratic nomination and election in 2020 or have things gone too far left for that to happen?”
Bill Clinton would win the Democratic nomination this year.
I think we underrate great politicians and their ability to shape shift to suit the moments. A great politician finds out what people want and then tells them how he’s going to give it to them.
Those skills transcend eras, conflicts, and nomination battles.
It’s only an average or good politician who is only able to be elected based on a given circumstance that arises in a country. In other words, this is the man meeting the moment as oppose to the man making the moment. I’d say Jimmy Carter and George Bush, Sr. would be good or average politicians that we’ve elected president in the past forty years. Those guys got elected because the Republicans tripped all over themselves out of Watergate — Carter — and because Reagan was so popular — Bush, Sr.
That’s not to denigrate them, it’s just to say that their timing was right.
Great politicians make the timing their own.
That’s because a great politician can be elected no matter the circumstances because he’s able to adjust and fit the times. Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton were both great, incredibly talented politicians who I believe would be electable in many different decades.
Their skills transcend their eras.
So Bill Clinton would win the Democratic nomination if he were ten years younger and running today.
I think the big issue the Democrats have right now is until you see the nominee go head-to-head against Trump it’s hard to foresee any of them as being “big” enough for the moment. That’s also why I think all polling is crap about Trump vs. the Democrats right now.
Trump is going to drag whichever Democrat he runs against down into the muck of an ugly, vicious election cycle. Make no mistake, this is going to be a presidential campaign as trench warfare. Both parties are pretty much set in place and I doubt there will be much movement in either direction.
This is a fifty-fifty country and this will be a fifty-fifty election.
The election, as I have said from the moment we first started writing about 2020 in the mailbag, will ultimately come down to what voters decide in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota.
This is the Big Ten’s election.
Whatever those voters decide will decide the presidency.
“Now that Tulsi Gabbard will not seek re-election for her House seat, what is your take on the Russian operative claims and did they have an effect on her decision?”
The Russian operative claims are absolutely insane and, honestly, a disservice to anyone in the political process.
What Hillary said about Tulsi is just as bad as anything Trump said about the Republicans he was running against in 2016.
The truth of the matter is this, Tulsi Gabbard has an interesting collection of beliefs that don’t all follow script. Like most of us in the this country she has a mix of conservative and liberal beliefs. She leans left, but isn’t a far left loon and I believe she sees the DNC for what it was in 2016 — an organization captured by Hillary Clinton that fought to ensure Bernie Sanders wasn’t the nominee.
Personally, I think it’s a smart move to leave the House of Representatives if she wants to be a national figure and I suspect she would have left no matter what Hillary said. Unless you’re the speaker, how many Americans can even name a member of the House? Hell, how many Americans can even name Nancy Pelosi?
Tulsi’s political future lies, I think, in becoming a cabinet member of a Bernie or Biden presidency or, potentially, moving to a new state and running for higher office there.
As for election interference, look, here’s the truth, other countries have and will attempt to impact our elections through often covert means. Just as, and I can’t believe no one ever points this out, WE REGULARLY ATTEMPT TO INFLUENCE THE ELECTIONS IN OTHER COUNTRIES THROUGH COVERT MEANS TOO.
We act like election interference in our country is a one way street.
We have been interfering in other countries elections for hundreds of years.
The truth of the matter is election interference only impacts, in any way, the potential outcome of an election when the race is very close. In 2016 roughly 80,000 people in Big Ten country determined the outcome of the presidency. But the 2000 race was even more ridiculous than the 2016 race. In the 2000 race the idiot ballot designer in Palm Beach County cost Al Gore the election.
That’s not because the ballot designer was intending to change the election outcome, just because the race was so incredibly close that every little detail ends up being magnified in a close election. That’s where we may end up in 2020 again, honestly.
If you want a sports equivalent, fans are most upset at referees when the game is close and a single call can swing the outcome.
If the game’s not close, most don’t care about a missed pass interference penalty.
If Hillary flips those 80,000 voters and wins Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin then no one talks about Russia or election interference or social media or anything else. But because Trump won — and won so narrowly — Democrats have been looking for reasons why that could happen again.
The reason why it happened back in 2016 was because Hillary was a weak candidate who couldn’t rise above her historic baggage. She didn’t have her husband’s innate likability or his political talents. That’s why Obama beat her in 2008 and it’s why Trump beat her in 2016.
It wasn’t Russia or Facebook or any of those things, it was Hillary.
“I’m sure you’ve seen the SI story about the Astro’s assistant gm who got fired for his outburst towards some SI female staffers. He’s now been fired. Is this really a big story?