Week two of the BCS standing are here and it’s beginning to look like the final two years of the BCS won’t end without controversy.
Why is that?
Because Oregon and Kansas State will be substantial favorites for their remaining five regular season games each. Kansas State will be substantial favorites over Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, at TCU, at Baylor, and to close out the season at home against Texas. With no Big 12 title game, we’re just five games from Kansas State finishing undefeated. Meanwhile, Oregon has a tougher road, playing Colorado, USC, Cal, Stanford, and Oregon State before probably playing USC again in the BCS title game.
In fact, in the scenario that will leave SEC fans up at night, what if a one-loss SEC champ gets bumped from the title game by undefeated Oregon and Kansas State.
Is it really that unbelievable?
(Note: I’m assuming that Notre Dame will lose to either Oklahoma or USC — actually I think both — to knock one of the unbeatens out of the mix).
Of course the flip side to this could also be true, if Oregon and Kansas State both lose and the top SEC teams keep winning, you could face a situation where the top four teams in the country are all one-loss SEC teams. This would require Georgia to upset Florida and LSU to upset Alabama. In that situation LSU could play Georgia for the title and voters might rightfully feel that both Alabama and Florida were actually the best teams in the SEC.
So much remains to be decided.
In the meantime, here’s the week two BCS standings.
3. Kansas State
5. Notre Dame
7. Oregon State
11. Mississippi State
12. Florida State
13. South Carolina
14. Texas Tech
19. West Virginia
20. Texas A&M
21. Boise State
The SEC has five of the top 11, six of the top 13.
And the Big Ten surges back into the top 25 with Michigan and Wisconsin notching spots at 22 and 25, respectively.
Breaking it down by conference.
SEC: 7 teams
Big 12: 5 teams
Pac 12: 4 teams
Big East: 2 teams
ACC: 2 teams
Big Ten: 2 teams
If you want to assume every undefeated team wins from here on out, here’s how it likely ends up, the SEC undefeated would play Oregon.
Bama or Florida would be number one and Oregon would have wins over USC, Stanford, Oregon State, and probably USC again in the title game. The duel between Notre Dame and Kansas State for next one up in this scenario would be really tight.
But if you had four undefeated teams, especially if Notre Dame was one of them, what a huge mess that would be.
I still think a title game of Alabama-Oregon is by far the most likely outcome.