Last week we selected two underdogs that failed to get the outright win but covered the spread as the Redskins and Chiefs cashed for all of you who followed our sage advice. Let’s keep this money train rolling and do it all over again in Week 12.
Browns (3-6-1 SU, 6-4 ATS) at Bengals (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) – Sunday, 1 PM ET
Football is fun again in Cleveland even if their team is poised for another losing season. Baker Mayfield looks like the real deal and hope springs eternal for members of the Dawg Pound. Some pundits suggest that the presence of former Cleveland head coach Hue Jackson, fired on Oct. 29 and now an assistant in Cincinnati, will share all of the Browns’ strengths and weaknesses with Bengals head coach Marv Lewis and that blueprint will pave the way to victory.
Guess what? We’re not worried. Jackson might be a nice guy, but he’s not the sharpest knife in the coaching drawer. In addition, the Browns put it all together in their last game when they defeated the Falcons 28-16, with some of the best online sportsbooks, found all in one convenient location at Sportsbook Review, dealing the Browns as high as 6½ point underdogs. Mayfield was the best he has looked as a pro, firing three touchdown strikes and connecting on 17-of-20 passes for 216 yards. Fellow rookie Nick Chubb rambled for a 92-yard rush into the end zone and the Browns just may be watching these young draft picks coalesce into a winning formula – and future.
The Bengals, on the other hand, lack anything remotely resembling a heart. Despite holding a 21-13 lead in the second half last week the Bengals melted, as they’re wont to do, and gave it away to a rookie quarterback named Lamar Jackson and fell 24-21 to the Ravens. Let’s watch the Cats do it all over again as Mayfield will be the next rook to ruin the party. The Browns are 4-1 ATS over their last five games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Grab the points and back Cleveland.
Seahawks (5-5 SU, 5-3-2 ATS) at Panthers (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) – Sunday, 1 PM ET
The Seahawks rallied for 10 fourth-quarter points to defeat the Packers 27-24 last Thursday and must now hit the highway to take on a Carolina team that came up short on a two-point conversion that saw them drop a 20-19 decision to the toothless Detroit Lions on Sunday. The best online sportsbooks are dealing the Panthers as three-point home favorites, but this one smacks of an upset as Russell Wilson and the Seattle offense are averaging nearly 27 points per game over their last six, while the Panthers have scored an average of 20 PPG in their last two games, both losses to Pittsburgh and Detroit.
The last time these teams met was two seasons ago when the Seahawks delivered a 40-7 beatdown in Seattle. Carolina is ranked in the bottom third of the points allowed category, while Seattle has climbed to No. 8 and is poised to go higher against a Panthers defense that will be dazed and confused once Wilson mixes up his passes with his elite rushing ability. Furthermore, the Seahawks have a full head of steam in terms of relevant trends heading into this meeting that are as follows:
- Seahawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
- Seahawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four vs. NFC.
- Seahawks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The oddsmakers have the wrong favorite so let’s make them pay and grab the points and then put a few more bucks on the money line for the Hawks to win outright.