OddsShark Week 6 College Football Betting Trends
There are several key conference matchups to watch this week in college football, but perhaps the most intriguing will take place in Tallahassee on Saturday when the Florida State Seminoles (1-2) host the Miami Hurricanes (3-0) as 3-point home underdogs at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
These two Florida schools were supposed to meet a few weeks ago, but Hurricane Irma led to the postponement of the ACC showdown.
The Seminoles have won the past seven meetings in the series, according to the OddsShark College Football Database, although the loss of quarterback Deondre Francois to a season-ending knee injury has hurt their chances of winning the conference title. Francois was injured in a season-opening loss to the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, and Florida State has not been the same team since then.
The Seminoles are coming off their first win, topping the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 26-19 as 7-point road favorites last Saturday to avoid dropping to 0-3 against the spread.
Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 on the road after winning their previous two away from home, and they have not beaten Florida State since 2009. While Miami may look like a good play, recent series history is a key trend to consider.
Another important conference game worth a look this week between two intrastate rivals is in the Big Ten between the Michigan Wolverines (4-0) and Michigan State Spartans (3-1). The Wolverines are listed as 10.5-point home favorites, but they have struggled mightily versus the Spartans lately. Michigan State has won seven of the last nine straight up, going 9-0 ATS. Michigan’s last cover in the series came on the road in 2007.
In the SEC, there are not too many intriguing games outside of the Florida Gators (3-1) hosting the LSU Tigers (3-2) as 3-point home favorites. The Gators are dealing with injuries to quarterback Luke Del Rio (collarbone) and wide receiver Tyrie Cleveland (ankle). Del Rio is out for the season while Cleveland will also miss this matchup against LSU.
The Tigers may also be without running back Derrius Guice (knee), as he is considered questionable after sitting out last week’s 24-21 home loss to the Troy Trojans, which snapped a 49-game home winning streak versus non-conference opponents. Guice’s return would be huge, with LSU going 3-1 SU and ATS in the past four meetings.
NFL Betting Info:
How NFL teams have performed recently against their opponents can be telling in terms of how to approach betting on their upcoming matchups.
For instance, will you bet on the Philadelphia Eagles (3-1) in Week 5 knowing they have lost five of the past six meetings with the Arizona Cardinals – going 0-5-1 against the spread – according to the OddsShark NFL Database?
The Eagles are leading the NFC East right now and have looked good so far, justifying them as solid home favorites against the Cardinals. But that lone betting trend might make you change your mind and take Arizona instead.
There are other series trends that favor the visitors in Week 5, and some will surprise you more than others. Do you think the Cleveland Browns (0-4) will get their first win at home versus the New York Jets (2-2) in what is listed as a pick’em game?
The Browns are 0-4 both straight up and ATS in their last four games against the Jets, who are riding a surprising two-game winning streak overall and play good enough defense to keep their opponent winless.
Like Cleveland, both the Los Angeles Chargers (0-4) and New York Giants (0-4) are still searching for their first victory. However, the Chargers seemingly have an edge despite being small road underdogs, winning three straight over the Giants both SU and ATS.
The Baltimore Ravens (2-2) hope to take advantage of the absence of quarterback Derek Carr (back) for the Oakland Raiders (2-2) as small road dogs as well. The Ravens have won 10 of the past 13 meetings SU, and the Raiders have gone 3-7 ATS in their last 10 at home after playing consecutive road games.
The Green Bay Packers (3-1) are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the previous seven head-to-head matchups with the Dallas Cowboys (2-2), who would love to avenge last year’s playoff defeat as small home favorites.
The biggest positive for the Cowboys here is that the Packers are beat up physically, with running back Ty Montgomery (broken ribs) and wide receiver Davante Adams (concussion) uncertain to play due to injuries.
The Seattle Seahawks (2-2) have won 18 of the past 24 meetings with the Los Angeles Rams (3-1), who are averaging 35.5 points per game to lead the NFL in that category. The Seahawks are also small road dogs, and they will be relying on their strong defense to hold the high-powered offense of the Rams in check and pull off the upset.