Last week was rough, we went 4-8, headlined by a disastrous late touchdown by UCLA to cover against Oklahoma by .5 points and send everything into a tailspin. (I know it seems crazy, but it always feels like when you win a game by a half point you have a great gambling weekend and when you lose one by a half point everything comes undone.)
The picks are picks are currently 14-12 as we enter week three.
I even gave out two picks on Monday that have since been canceled due to the coming hurricane — WVU -3 vs. N.C. State and Central Florida -14.5 at North Carolina.
But the rest of the picks remain and look out, we’re going 12-0.
This is the second year we’ve had the picks up early on the Outkick VIP message board. If you love to ride with the Outkick picks I will be posting my picks on Monday and Tuesday on the VIP message board so you can get the earliest numbers possible. Then I’ll post the picks for free here on Wednesday afternoon. Several thousand of you signed up for the Outkick VIP last year and this year’s VIP’s will receive an autographed copy of my new book, Republicans Buy Sneakers Too, access to our VIP events across the nation, a VIP message board, a VIP phone line for my radio show, and other cool experiences, potentially involving the new TV show, which will be announced on the VIP message board. So make sure you sign up for Outkick VIP today.
Stop being so cheap.
The weekly Outkick picks are presented by SportsBookReview.com, which features the best one stop shop to compare prices on games anywhere on the Internet. The site will also let you know which side all the betting action is on, which is a pretty phenomenal resource as well.
So here we go with the Outkick picks presented by SportsBookReview.
Memphis -27 vs. Georgia State, now Memphis -27
Last week we got killed by Memphis, as the Tigers didn’t show up at Navy, blew a late lead, and didn’t come close to scoring as many points as I anticipated leaving the picks 0-2 in this game.
This week they are back home in Memphis on a Friday night and I think they win big and rain down points on Georgia State, which doesn’t have much of an offense.
Get your weekend started right with a bounce back performance from Mike Norvell’s program.
FSU at Syracuse +2.5 and the over 68, now Syracuse +3 and 68
Right now Florida State is awful and our old friend Dino Babers is sitting up in Syracuse waiting to welcome the Seminoles to town.
I’m going to be honest with y’all — I think Syracuse doesn’t just cover, I think they win by double digits.
And I think the points rain down like crazy in this game.
Syracuse has shown anyone can score on them and that they can score on anyone as well. It’s a shootout in the Dome, Syracuse wins 45-35 and you hit both sides of this bet.
Vandy +14.5 at Notre Dame, now Vandy +14
Call me crazy, but Vandy has been pretty outstanding in the first two games this year. They’ve beaten MTSU and Nevada by a combined score of 76-17, they have a good quarterback in Kyle Shurmur, and I don’t think Notre Dame is going to be hyped up to play against Vanderbilt.
I don’t just think Vandy keeps it close, I think you can sprinkle some money on the Commodores to potentially win outright.
My blood bank guarantee here is the Dores.
(Note: if this turns into last year’s Alabama game I will disavow all knowledge of this suggestion ever being made).
Bama -20.5 at Ole Miss and the over 70, now Bama -21 and 71
I don’t see any way Ole Miss keeps this game close and I don’t see any way possible Alabama doesn’t score at least fifty in this game.
Remember last year Alabama won 66-3.
Last week Ole Miss gave up 41, 41! to Southern Illinois State — a school I’m still not sure even exists — and now they are going to take on Alabama, which is the most explosive team, maybe, in all of college football.
If Alabama had played Tua for the entire game against Louisville and Arkansas State they would have scored seventy points easy on both teams.
I absolutely love both sides of this bet, the Tide to cover by three touchdowns or more and the over to easily soar over seventy. I think Bama scores 56 and Ole Miss scores 21.
Boom, that’s 77 and a double winner and, wait for it, a double blood bank guarantee.
Ohio State vs. TCU +13.5, now TCU +12.5
This is essentially a bet on Gary Patterson with an entire offseason to prepare for Ohio State.
I know, I know, TCU had to play Southern and SMU, but what do you think Gary Patterson was doing in July? He was watching film on Ohio State.
So far Urban Meyer’s absence from the sideline hasn’t mattered because games against Oregon State and Rutgers haven’t been remotely close. But what happens if TCU is able to take this game into the fourth quarter? I think Patterson and his staff have a big advantage then.
The Buckeyes win, but it’s by single digits.
Meaning you cover with ease.
Mizzou -7.5 at Purdue and the over 62.5, now Mizzou -7 and 65.5
Purdue is 0-2 and Mizzou is 2-0 and last year Purdue came into Columbia and beat the Tigers 35-3.
That was an absolute throttling and probably the low point of Mizzou’s season.
These are the only facts that give me a bit of a pause here. Because otherwise Mizzou has been scoring with ease with Drew Lock and Purdue hasn’t been very good at stopping anyone.
I think what we’re going to get here is a good old fashioned shootout, which I think Mizzou will end up winning 42-28, meaning you hit the over and get the cover.
LSU at Auburn -9.5 and the under 45, now Auburn -9.5 and 45
This is the game I have looked at the most all week trying to figure out what’s going to happen. Coach Orgeron is 7-2 against the spread in his last nine games which means he has singlehandedly killed me in the past couple of years.
Because I just keep betting against LSU and getting crushed by doing it.
But ultimately I think LSU is just not going to be that good this year and that Auburn takes control of this game at home.
But I also don’t think a ton of points will be scored, I see it as Auburn winning 27-13, meaning the Tigers cover and we hit the under.
Boise State at Oklahoma State the over 63.5, now 63.5
Boise has scored 56 and 62 and Oklahoma state has scored 58 and 55.
And you’re telling me when these two teams get together that suddenly there aren’t going to be a ton of points scored?
I think that’s insanity.
At a minimum I think both these teams score 35 meaning you can just sit back and watch the points roll in.
Get rich, kids, we’re going 12-0.