Vegas Top 10 – Week 13

Yikes! I’m not sure there is a better word out there to describe the feeling of the Crimson Tide fanbase prior to entering the locker room after their victory against Mississippi State. With QB Tua Tagovailoa unfortunately out of the picture for Alabama (we wish him a speedy and successful recovery), they’ve tumbled down to the #6 slot. Auburn also tumbled out of the Top 10 altogether following their home loss at the hands of Georgia. Our overrated section this week focuses on a popular Mountain West team, Miami returns to the land of the underrated, and our Best Bet goes to Athens where the Aggies look to play spoiler!

Bet the Board Top 10 Week 13:

1.) Ohio State

2.) LSU

3.) Clemson

4.) Georgia

5.) Oklahoma 

6.) Alabama

7.) Utah

8.) Florida

9.) Penn State

10.) Michigan

Overrated:  Boise State Broncos

At 9-1 and at the top of the Mountain West standings, the Broncos have climbed to the #20 spot in the AP Poll, and 19th in the USA Today Coaches Poll.  This is the 2nd time Boise has graced our overrated spot and we hinted then (Week 5), that while this team would continue to rack up wins, the reality is that they still rank outside the Top 30.  Not much has changed here, outside of the schedule easing up for them (now 80th toughest SOS) with more uncertainty at the quarterback position.  Boise has three quarterbacks who are currently all capable with Jaylon Henderson becoming the latest choice as the signal caller.  Boise is outside of the Top 30 in all 3 categories of offensive, defensive, special teams efficiency, and are dealing with a rash of injuries on both the offensive and defensive line, specifically at the DE position with Curtis Weaver. The Broncos could catch another break this week as Utah State isn’t sure if QB Jordan Love will be playing securing passage to the league title game.

Underrated: Miami Hurricanes

It’s crazy to think that a team with such a prestigious program/history like Miami could be on an underrated list but its 2019 and things have changed!  The Hurricanes are just 6-4 although they’ve really started to hit their stride these last 3 weeks with victories at Pittsburgh, Florida State, and at home against Louisville.  They’ve covered in all 3 games by an average of 15.5 points per game and the offense under QB Jarren Williams has really come to life.  He threw for 6 TD’s against the Cardinals and now has a 16:3 TD to INT ratio, with a 67.4% completion rate.  The real strength of this Miami team lies on the other side of the ball where the defense, specifically the defensive front 7, has lived up to expectations.  They only allow 3.0 yards per carry (12th in the nation) and have the #3 best sack % in the country.  Miami is a Top 25 team in the country despite the 4 losses.  With games remaining against Florida Atlantic and Duke (will be a tough one), Miami could finish this season at 8-4 with plenty of momentum going into a bowl game.

Best Bet: [125] Texas A&M +14(-115)

To our chagrin, Georgia got the big road win it needed to keep it’s playoff hopes alive at Auburn last week while A&M took care of South Carolina at home.  With a total that has dropped down below 45 at FoxBet, grabbing the double digits does not only make some mathematical sense here but there is some real logic that also would make us look to the Aggies.  Texas A&M is built a lot like Auburn with a decent defensive line and a strong secondary. The one difference that could really catapult the Aggies here is at QB where Kellen Mond has quietly become one of the top performing signal callers throwing for over 2400 yards, 18 TD’s, and only 6 INT’s, at 7.4 yards per attempt and that’s come against very stiff competition (only losses are at Clemson, and home vs Auburn and Alabama).  There are few if any flaws on the Georgia team, especially on defense, but Jimbo Fisher should be well aware of what those are having coached with Kirby on LSU’s staff way back when.  Coming off of an SEC-East clinching win with an extremely talented Aggies team coming to town, we could see this one come down to the wire.

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