Vegas’s Top Six & Bowl Game Picks

By Todd Fuhrman

This is an unusual version of our piece but given it’s an unusual week for college football bettors we must adjust.  Below you’ll find the  Bet the Board Top 6 teams (who would be favored on a neutral field), a very quick peak at the College Football playoff, New Year’s Day Odds, and the current Heisman prices.  We will of course be doing a deeper dive into these bowl games as they approach however we would strongly recommend monitoring coaching changes and players who may opt to sit out these games due to their future earning potential in the NFL.

Bet the Board: The “Real” Top 6

1.) Alabama

2.) Clemson

3.) Georgia

4.) Michigan

5.) Ohio State

6.) Oklahoma

With the absence of high profile games this week before the bowls get started, we’ll share a couple tidbits on one of the most iconic and historic game in college football history, Army vs Navy.  The Midshipmen lead the all-time series, 60-51-7, but Army has won the last two meetings after falling short from 2002 to 2015.  Army is now out to a 7-point favorite for this Saturday’s showdown (first time installed as a favorite since 2001).  Maybe the even better discussion point on this game is the movement on the total and the logic behind it.  We saw this total open at 44 and fall to 40 or even 39.5 at some shops.  The under has hit every year since 2006 and no game has gone over 44 since 2011.  How low can this total go before we see some resistance?

New Year’s Day Bowl Games and College Football Playoff Odds:

Oklahoma/Alabama-14, 79: Alabama opened -13.5 and has reached 14 at some shops.  Figuring out the health of Crimson Tide QB Tua Tagovailoa is imperative here.

Notre Dame/Clemson-11, 55: Clemson is out to an 11-point favorite, and there should be an awesome match in the trenches when Notre Dame has the ball on offense.

Outback Bowl:

Iowa/Mississippi State-6, 44.5:  A contest between two elite defensive units.  This line has virtually remained at the opening numbers.

Citrus Bowl:

Kentucky/Penn State-6, 48:  Another line that has had minimal movement thus far; can the Kentucky pass game step up here if need be?

Fiesta Bowl:

LSU/UCF+7.5, 54.5:  The market on this game opened 8 and we’ve seen a little money come in on the UCF side.  Can the Knights take down another SEC program for the second straight year?

Rose Bowl:

Washington/Ohio State-6, 58:  In Urban Meyer’s last game coaching (apparently) can the Buckeyes do enough here an give him a Rose Bowl victory?  This line has moved from 5 to 6 since the open amid his announcement

Sugar Bowl:

Texas/Georgia-10.5, 58:  Will there be any letdown from the Bulldogs for missing out on the playoffs after a rough 4th quarter in the SEC Championship game?  This line has remained stagnant for both the side and the total.

Currant Heisman Odds from BetOnline.ag

Kyler Murray (-275)

Tua Tagovailoa (+175)

Dwayne Haskins (+6600)

There has been major movement in these numbers after the Saturday games concluded with Kyler Murray continuing his stellar performance this year and Tua looking human in his finale.  Tua was a favorite for the entire season, depending on the book, until Sunday morning and our guess Murray is the one taking home the hardware Saturday night.

BEST BET: 124 San Francisco +4

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